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11月22日

2049

     2049
     by 陈志武 Yale University

     我们很庆幸自己能生活在2049年的中国,不仅经济总规模已超过美国,而且,老百姓分享真正的“全民所有制”的好处。
  今天已经是2049年,自1949年至今已经一百年,期间中国走过几个不同阶段,经历了几次危机,包括国内的和国际的。尽管如此,中国经济虽然按人均GDP算还是落后于美国和其他西方国家,但今天在总体规模上跟美国不相上下,已经是世界经济二强。
  回首看过去,在中国经济达到2049年的这种境界前,并不像当初预期的那么一帆风顺,原来总觉得中国就是与其他国家不同。只是现在回首往事,我们还是发现人性决定的规律,在中国也不例外。
  想当年,1978至2008年的改革开放,使中国经济在长达三十年中年均增长超过10%,在那种经济奇迹的基础上,又加上在2008--2009年世界金融危机中,因为那时的政府大刀阔斧救市,让中国经济很快从危机中走出来,于是,中国的经济成就受世人赞叹不已,这当然不奇怪。
 
  回顾2009--2019年的历史
 
  可问题也恰恰来源于此,因为那次危机之后,自满占据上风,人们变得过于自信,认为中国的经济增长势头不可能不持续,风水轮流转已经转到中国了。结果,在金融危机之前打算进行的许多基本制度改革被无限期推迟,包括土地制度改革、国企产权改革、财政民主改革、政治权力制衡机制改革,危机之后都被推迟。据说,当时的决策层、知识界和业界普遍认为没必要改变之前的体制,没必要改变那时已经势不可挡的“国进民退”潮流,他们觉得正是那种政府严格管制、国有企业主导的经济体制才使中国经济不仅快速增长三十年,而且给其以极高的抵抗危机冲击的能力。
  就这样,2009年之后改革动力快速退化,体制改革就是如此,不进则退,具体表现在以下几方面。第一,“国富民穷”局面继续恶化。这不奇怪,因为在2008-2009年金融危机期间,一方面政府几万亿的“铁公基”项目主要由大中型国企承接,另一方面2009年的数万亿“天量信贷”也主要流向国企,民企中顶多只有大型民企得到一些,而数千万家中小民企得不到,更何况把这么多银行存款贷给国企后,使原来一直就有的中小企业“融资难”问题雪上加霜。结果是,国企资源雄厚,在各行业出击,众多民企被挤出,停业关门。见到众多民企要么关门、要么经营困难,许多人没有认识到这是金融资源与国家政策的歧视所致,而是得出“民企靠不住,只能靠国企”发展中国经济的结论。于是,从2009年到2018年,金融资源和政策继续重点偏袒国企。
  国企强势,民企被挤,在2015年前,就没有哪个行业不是国企绝对垄断。政府拥有的资产产权以及其它形式财富的比重,重新回到1990年代初的水平。也就是说,从整个经济的财产性收入中,政府得到的份额重回国企产权改革以前的水平,民间家庭得到的份额出现新低。
  第二个表现是,财政税收占GDP之比继续上升。在2007-2008年时,老百姓收入占GDP比重还只略低于50%,但是,到2018年,则降到不到GDP的40%。之所以财政税收的扩张能够实现,是因为民主宪政改革一直没有足够的压力,因此,制约税率和税种过度膨胀的机制没机会形成。当然,税收增长的一个原因是2005年后收税的效率提高很多,但更重要的原因是基于需要。2008-2009金融危机期间开始的那么多“铁公基”项目,迫使各级政府继续往里面投资数年,否则就有太多烂尾工程,所以,政府需要很多钱。再者,原来地方政府可以靠“土地财政”,比如,在2007年,不少市政开支的80%左右来自土地出让金,所以,那时候,各地政府有很多激励去“保护”房价。只是经过几轮行政操纵后,到2015年左右,房产已经是天价。在那时候中国城镇化比率已接近60%,还没进城镇的因房价太高,进不了城,而城里以房子投资的人也无法再多买了。更何况城镇里能够被政府卖的地已所剩无几。就这样,房价到顶,“土地财政”的路就越来越窄,为了支持开支需要,各地政府只好放弃“预算外收入”,转向更多依赖正式的征税。
  第三,国内民间消费需求继续下降,到2018年居民消费只占GDP的30%左右。一方面,由于上述“国富民穷”的趋势越来越强,2009年后,虽然许多经济学家和官员都强调扩大民间消费的重要性,但是,在民间掌握的资产财富和收入比率越来越低的情况下,这当然只是愿望而已。另一方面,民营企业在1978年时几乎没几个,到2008年时有六千多万家,而到2018年只剩五千多万家。这种因金融资源和政策歧视造成的国企挤出民企的结局,对社会就业打击严重,2008年前的中国经历是:对国企的投资是对民企的四倍,但国企并不增加就业机会,而民企每年增加就业五百万以上。可是,这些数据并没能改变中国资源配置偏袒国企的基本格局,反而在2008-2009年世界金融危机后得到强化。因此,从那以后,就业需求大于就业供给的局面继续恶化,使劳动力成本即老百姓收入继续下降,这也造成了2018年居民消费只占GDP的30%。
  在民间消费无法增长太多的情况下,中国经济的增长就不能转型到依赖内需,而是只能继续依赖出口市场。可是,到2009年时中国在许多商品的全球市场份额已接近顶峰,2009年后要再增加,其在各国的政治阻力越来越大,特别是那次全球金融危机对各国就业的冲击之后,连美国的政客也抵挡不住来自工业工会的压力,不得不让步于贸易保护主义。在2013年之前,中国政府想尽办法让中国的出口每年勉强增长一点,但到2015年出口已无法增长了。
  于是,自2008年全球金融危机时开始的“再国有化”以及“铁公基”运动的后遗症,到2015年已经完全暴露出来,不仅社会失业严重,而且许多基建项目完工后使用率低,国企亏损又开始像1970、80年代那么严重,这些都转换成银行的呆坏账。加上从那之后房价持续下跌,银行的住房贷款呆坏账日益严重。一场银行危机在即。
  不过,由于商业银行都是国有或者国家绝对控股的,所以,银行的问题就是政府的问题,也就是说,只要政府财政没有问题,财政部就能为银行买单,银行破产危机就不可能发生。
  只是如上面介绍的,到2015年,各级政府的财政收入已经越来越吃紧。虽然“土地财政”还是有一些、各种税率已经很高,但是国企亏损越来越大,政府需要往其中补贴的金额越来越多,银行的呆坏账也在膨胀,这就逼着政府加税,并通过向银行发国债补充财政,以期度过挑战。
  到2018年,严格意义的金融危机还没发生,只是在国有经济的安排下,潜在的金融危机已经被转变成财政危机。在继续加税可能使社会不满加重、同时政府负债已经很多的情况下,还是选择多印钞票,以通货膨胀将财政危机转移给社会老百姓。结果,还是引发强烈的社会不满,出现动荡。
 
  危机之后改革三十年
 
  往事并非总是不堪回首。1978至2008年长达三十年改革开放的经济奇迹,来的太容易,以至于即使人们没有把其背后的逻辑弄清楚,也不妨碍中国经济增长那么多年。特别是经过2008-2009全球金融危机中中国经济的表现,让许多人更是不能认识到:中国改革开放的成果恰恰是因为离原来的管制经济越远、离国有企业垄断越远、靠经济自由越近、靠民营经济越近所致,而不是因为国有经济比重很高所致。
  在当时自信与自满占上风的情况下,太多人的确难以理性地理解当初中国经济奇迹的原因,难以选择进行基础性体制改革。所以,在2009年后,反而选择强化“国进民退”。
  所以,从这个意义上,2018年后的短暂危机和动荡不完全只是一件坏事,因为人也好,社会也好,太成功之后,特别是太长时间成功之后,会变得过于自信,然后就朝着非理性的路走得难以自我回头。俗话说,“不见棺材不掉泪”,看来只有危机才能逼着社会纠错。
  2019年后社会还是经历了一段时期的镇痛。可是,痛定思痛,这为那时的领导人倡导的基础性制度改革创造了社会基础。这就是为什么之后开始了真正的国有资产民有化改革、土地产权交易市场改革、征税权制约机制改革、财政民主化改革,等等,这些是邓小平时期也考虑过但之前时机不成熟的改革,终于在过去的三十年发生了。
  1978-2008年是“经济”改革开放时期,2019-2049年也是三十年改革开放,只是侧重点在体制上。两个阶段加在一起,才完成中国“渐进式”改革路径的全程。回过头看,当年人们说东欧的“休克疗法”改革方式如何如何的不合适,而中国的“渐进式”是多么优越。只是现在再看这个问题,差别在于东欧在当时就完成了,他们早就不谈改革的话题了,因为改革的事对他们已经相去太远;而中国的“渐进式”到今天,到2049年才走完。人生有几个七十年呀!
  不过,我们很庆幸自己能生活在2049年的中国,不仅经济总规模已超过美国,而且,老百姓直接拥有由原来国有资产组成的国民权益基金的股份,分享真正的“全民所有制”的好处,而且政府对各行各业的准入管制大大减少,即使行政部门想扩张权力,也没有那么容易,会受到全国人大常委会各专业委员会的听证监督和问责。更重要的是,各行业不再有国企垄断了,而是各家民营企业自由竞争,不管是年轻人还是老年人,也不管其出身或教育背景如何,都能自由创业、进入充满发展前景的行业。由于没有多少国企存在了,金融资源不再有歧视性地偏向一些企业,忽视另外的企业,所以,在发展机会上更加平等,连商业规则、行业法律法规都更体现“法律面前人人平等”的原则。
  今天的中国是更加商业化、市场化了,以至于家庭的利益交换功能也淡化,那种通过家庭血缘关系来互通利益的传统安排已经越来越轻。许多人说现在社会的人情味淡,离婚率高,生小孩的数量也少了,等等,这并不是坏事,因为在金融市场以及其它市场取代家庭、社会关系的经济交易功能之后,婚姻和家庭的基础更多是感情,而不是利益,个人是为自己而不再是为别人活着。所以,一旦没了感情,婚姻的基础就没有了,离婚属合情合理的选择。有了金融市场解决养老病残的经济安全安排之后,自然没必要靠多生小孩“养子防老”了,人的生命就这样从功利工具目的中得到解放。生命多可贵呀,就那么几十年,何尝不充分享受自由飞翔的人生体念呢?市场的发达最终实现了“五四”运动所追求的个人自由和个人解放。
6月27日

The Day Passed By

 
轻轻笑声在为我送温暖
你为我注入快乐强电

轻轻说声漫长路快要走过
终于走过明媚晴天
声声欢呼跃起象红日发放金箭

我伴你往日笑面重现
轻轻叫声共抬望眼看高空

终于青天优美为你献
拥着你当初温馨再涌现

心里边童年稚气梦未污染
今日我与你又试肩并肩

当年情此刻是添上新鲜
一望你眼里温暖已通电

心里边从前梦一点未改变
今日我与你又试肩并肩

当年情再度添上新鲜
欢呼跃起象红日发放金箭
6月10日

THE HONORABLE BLOODSHED

If I do my farewell and not return,
will you understand me?
If I fall down and not rise,
will you always wait there for me?
If that happens, dont sorrow for me
Our glorious bloodshed will shine on the flag of the republic
 
Maybe my eyes can never open,
will you understand my silent heart?
Maybe I fall asleep and never wake up,
will you believe the mountain is my last resting-place
If that happens, dont sorow for me
Our love and faith will be lasting in the republic's earth
 
也许我告别将不再回来,
你是否理解?
你是否明白?
也许我倒下再不能起来,
你是否还要永久的期待?
如果是这样,
你不要悲哀,
共和国的旗帜上
有我们血染的风采
如果是这样,
你不要悲哀,
共和国的旗帜上
有我们血染的风采
 
也许我的眼睛再不能睁开
你是否理解我沉默的情怀?
也许我长眠再不能醒来,
你是否相信我化作了山脉?
如果是这样,
你不要悲哀,
共和国的土壤里
有我们付出的爱
如果是这样,
你不要悲哀,
共和国的土壤里
有我们付出的爱
如果是这样,
你不要悲哀,
共和国的旗帜上
有我们血染的风采
如果是这样,
你不要悲哀,
共和国的旗帜上
有我们血染的风采
血染的风采
 
 
twenty years ago, some people fought for some thing
some of them went and never return
i dont know if the pre-generation get it right or get it in a right way
 
still sea water wash out the sands of the beach, and we searched our path through the memory in the wind
4月2日

CHANGE THE ERA

THE NEO-CLASSIC ENDS
 
A NEW ORDER BEGIN TO BUILD
 
I DO THINK SO
3月4日

TALKS OVERSEAS

In February, three Wharton faculty colleagues and I had the pleasure of dining with 19 visiting students from one of China's most prestigious universities. The students were young. They were charming. They were very intelligent. And they were very, very goal-directed.

My colleagues and I had each prepared brief opening remarks, but the students were having none of it. They had elected a delegation leader, and the delegation leader, as quickly as possible, got to the question the students all wanted to address: What are the implications of the current financial and economic crisis?  

A colleague in the accounting department gave them a careful, scholarly, even-handed explanation of how firms' decisions on the repricing of assets in their portfolio could perhaps have been used, perhaps unintentionally, to create false expectations in the marketplace, and could have been done in a way undetectable to auditors, leading to over-investment in toxic subprime assets.

No, that's not what the students wanted to discuss. With much less tact, I explained that, indeed, mispricing of assets at an inflated price could have been deliberately used to create the illusion of value, and this could then have been used to create the very real rewards of wealth for the financial engineering wizards responsible for the scheme.

This got us much closer to the questions that the visiting students wanted to address. Their first round of questions were basically, How can I get that job? How can I get a high-paying job in investment banking now?

My colleagues and I attempted to convince them that those jobs simply will not exist again, at historical levels of compensation, in the months or years before these students' graduation.

This led to a second round of questions, like, What can I do while working as a desk drone in an audit firm in China to ensure that I can get into Wharton, Harvard or Stanford, and get a job in investment banking later? The students were patient. They did not need a job with a $10 million bonus now, as long as the prospect of receiving it later would still arise. 

I then suggested that perhaps they might work for companies that made things. Actual things. With a burgeoning middle class that would soon be larger than the entire population of the U.S. or Western Europe, surely there was going to be a huge domestic market for things in China. The students could pursue careers with companies that were working to develop and to sell appliances fit for a Chinese home, or mass-market, branded consumer package goods for the new middle class Chinese consumer.

This was met with stares from the students. Another colleague from the management department suggested that Chinese retailing and distribution offered two other growth opportunities for a bold young entrepreneur. Again, we got mostly stares.

I then explained that there are really only three ways for an individual to earn tens of millions of dollars a year:

--Create a company that creates real wealth and keep a piece of the company. Bill Gates did that at Microsoft , and he is, probably, still one of the five wealthiest men in America. Vanderbilt (railroads and shipping), Carnegie (U.S. Steel ) and Rockefeller (Standard Oil) did it, too. These men played hardball, seeking to crush commercial competitors, but they did successfully transform America and the world.

--Facilitate the creation of real wealth by others and keep a piece of each transaction. J. P. Morgan convinced European investors that they would earn far more investing in the fastest-growing industries in the United States than they would investing in their more developed, more mature and more slowly growing domestic markets. He directed the capital that led to the industrialization of the United States. American industrialists got rich. European investors got rich. America was transformed, and his share of each transaction ensured that Morgan became wealthy as well.

Venture capitalists, early round investors in new companies and firms that underwrite their initial public offerings all facilitate the creation of new companies and the creation of jobs and wealth, and profit from it. Early investors in Microsoft, Google, Oracle and Apple all profited quite handsomely from it.

This used to be the principal function of Wall Street firms other than those principally in retail brokerage. But it produces individual Wall Street executive wealth only slowly, and only when Wall Street produces increases in national wealth. Patient men like Warren Buffett still facilitate wealth creation, and Buffett may be richer even than Gates.

--Steal it. Stealing money is much more reliable than earning it. You can steal wealth slowly, the old-fashioned way, buried within the operations of trading for the house account. Or you can steal it quickly, by using obscure and poorly understood financial artifacts to produce the illusion of wealth creation. Then you take a piece of the illusionary wealth, as personal cash, now. Then you exit and duck for cover before the entire game blows up. Better yet, you can sell your private equity firm to naïve investors for one final twist of the knife into the carcass of your nation. (Deliberate fraud, like those allegedly committed by Bernie Madoff or Robert Allen Stanford, is too crude to be of interest to young financial engineers, and too likely to result in extreme punishment.)

I then suggested that if students were not interested in earning their money through entrepreneurship (too risky), then investment banking in China offered the next best alternative for personal wealth creation. Facilitating investment in, and growth of, companies catering to the wants, needs, cravings and longings of China's growing middle class, offers Chinese investment bankers a path toward personal wealth by creating national wealth, much as J. P. Morgan did for America.

The students, though, were uninterested in banking in China. After the students left, it took my colleagues and me a couple of hours to figure out why this was so. I-banking in China is about improving China. The students saw i-banking in America as being about improving their own personal wealth, first and foremost; if the client could be assisted without too much personal inconvenience then and only then did they see American i-banking as also being about value creation.

I asked myself, What have we done? When I thought that the craze for private equity careers and investment banking careers among the brightest Western students was the fault of Western business schools, I felt both shame (for perhaps having contributed to this) and fear (for how we as a nation could possibly compete with foreign nations where the best and brightest young students sought real careers).

Perhaps the fear was unwarranted. Perhaps the best and the brightest students of other nations also wish to transform their homelands from economic dragons into paper tigers, following the Western model. Interestingly, our own students are indeed learning to manage, learning to market, learning operations and production planning and logistics; they are working hard to get ready for a world of things. Perhaps America doesn't have as much to fear from foreign competition as we thought

-QUOTE FROM FORBES

2月13日

BACK TO THE BASICS

That's maybe the way to a recovery, for the economy and for ourselves.
2月5日

GOD BLESS

Ode to the West Wind 

Percy Bysshe Shelley (1792-1822) 

I 
O wild West Wind, thou breath of Autumn's being, 
Thou, from whose unseen presence the leaves dead 
Are driven, like ghosts from an enchanter fleeing, 

Yellow, and black, and pale, and hectic red, 
Pestilence-stricken multitudes: O thou, 
Who chariotest to their dark wintry bed 

The winged seeds, where they lie cold and low, 
Each like a corpse within its grave, until 
Thine azure sister of the Spring shall blow 

Her clarion o'er the dreaming earth, and fill 
(Driving sweet buds like flocks to feed in air) 
With living hues and odours plain and hill: 

Wild Spirit, which art moving everywhere; 
Destroyer and preserver; hear, oh hear! 

II 
Thou on whose stream, mid the steep sky's commotion, 
Loose clouds like earth's decaying leaves are shed, 
Shook from the tangled boughs of Heaven and Ocean, 

Angels of rain and lightning: there are spread 
On the blue surface of thine a{:e}ry surge, 
Like the bright hair uplifted from the head 

Of some fierce Maenad, even from the dim verge 
Of the horizon to the zenith's height, 
The locks of the approaching storm. Thou dirge 

Of the dying year, to which this closing night 
Will be the dome of a vast sepulchre, 
Vaulted with all thy congregated might 

Of vapours, from whose solid atmosphere 
Black rain, and fire, and hail will burst: oh hear! 

III 
Thou who didst waken from his summer dreams 
The blue Mediterranean, where he lay, 
Lull'd by the coil of his cryst{`a}lline streams, 

Beside a pumice isle in Baiae's bay, 
And saw in sleep old palaces and towers 
Quivering within the wave's intenser day, 

All overgrown with azure moss and flowers 
So sweet, the sense faints picturing them! Thou 
For whose path the Atlantic's level powers 

Cleave themselves into chasms, while far below 
The sea-blooms and the oozy woods which wear 
The sapless foliage of the ocean, know 

Thy voice, and suddenly grow gray with fear, 
And tremble and despoil themselves: oh hear! 

IV 
If I were a dead leaf thou mightest bear; 
If I were a swift cloud to fly with thee; 
A wave to pant beneath thy power, and share 

The impulse of thy strength, only less free 
Than thou, O uncontrollable! If even 
I were as in my boyhood, and could be 

The comrade of thy wanderings over Heaven, 
As then, when to outstrip thy skiey speed 
Scarce seem'd a vision; I would ne'er have striven 

As thus with thee in prayer in my sore need. 
Oh, lift me as a wave, a leaf, a cloud! 
I fall upon the thorns of life! I bleed! 

A heavy weight of hours has chain'd and bow'd 
One too like thee: tameless, and swift, and proud. 

V 
Make me thy lyre, even as the forest is: 
What if my leaves are falling like its own! 
The tumult of thy mighty harmonies 

Will take from both a deep, autumnal tone, 
Sweet though in sadness. Be thou, Spirit fierce, 
My spirit! Be thou me, impetuous one! 

Drive my dead thoughts over the universe 
Like wither'd leaves to quicken a new birth! 
And, by the incantation of this verse, 

Scatter, as from an unextinguish'd hearth 
Ashes and sparks, my words among mankind! 
Be through my lips to unawaken'd earth 

The trumpet of a prophecy! O Wind, 
If Winter comes, can Spring be far behind? 
 
 
 
If Winter comes, can Spring be far behind? 
GOD BLESS
ALL OF US
11月25日

THE SEPARATION

《海角7号》《台湾,一八九五》
台湾本土导演和央视一套黄金段
 
 
了解彼此首先要倾听
 
不一样的价值观怎么调和,要熟悉对方,要尊重对方
9月22日

truth is hard

when you go through the websites from bloomberg to forbes, scarcely you can find the single word bubble
 
if we take the overvalued stoke market as granted or we just scare the emperor's new clothes be pointet out
 
what a shame
 
what truelly comes to the rescue: faith and sincerity
 
luckily we yet got some voice claimming at the cheating story:Irrational Exuberance by Yale economist Robert Shiller
8月27日

江流石不转

 

小样,后悔了吧,谁让你这么早结婚的!

8月11日

some spirit(update 3)

国人自古以来一以惯之的群体意识在奥运之后将何去何从
 
据史而言,衰时、弱时,国人的自我身份认同往往是“中国人”、“中华民族”、“四万万五千万”之类的群体集合性概念。
 
也可以看到我们现在更多地诉求代表个体、更多元、更不同的声音,要“呛声”。不舒服,会讲;有想法,会讲;看不惯,更会讲。
 
刘翔与我们的联系并不仅仅是运动员与体育迷的关系。是崛起国家国民的自我认同的需要和爱国主义情怀让我们对同样肤色、同种语言的英雄视若翘楚、抱有幻想,好比含辛茹苦的老母对于考上清华的儿子所抱有的骄傲那般。
 
可敬、可贵、但能否绵尽延长,不可知呼。
 
也许我们永远也不会有那么一天,像纽约的市民那样对于街头询问是否应该申办奥运来一句:not my business
 
人心若散,队伍还能否好带?
 
 
让我们高声歌唱祖国
7月16日

JUST BE BETTER, JUST

Send someone to love me
I need to rest in arms
Keep me safe from harm in pouring rain
Give me endless summer
Lord I fear the cold
Feel I'm getting old before my time

As my soul heals the shame
I will grow through this pain
Lord I'm doing all I can to be a better man

Go easy on my conscience
'Cause it's not my fault
I know I've been taught to take the blame
Rest assured my angels
Will catch my tears
Walk me out of here I'm in pain

As my soul heals the shame
I will grow through this pain
Lord I'm doing all I can to be a better man

Once you've found that lover you're homeward bound
Love is all around love is all around
I know some have fallen on stony ground
But love is all around

Send someone to love me
I need to rest in arms
Keep me safe from harm in pouring rain
Give me endless summer
Lord I fear the cold
Feel I'm getting old before my time

As my soul heals the shame
I will grow through this pain
Lord I'm doing all I can to be a better man
 
Send someone to love me
I need to rest in arms
Keep me safe from harm in pouring rain
Give me endless summer
Lord I fear the cold
Feel I'm getting old before my time

As my soul heals the shame
I will grow through this pain
Lord I'm doing all I can to be a better man
Go easy on my conscience

'Cause it's not my fault
I know I've been taught to take the blame
Rest assured my angels
Will catch my tears
Walk me out of here I'm in pain

As my soul heals the shame
I will grow through this pain
Lord I'm doing all I can to be a better man
Once you've found that lover you're homeward bound
Love is all around love is all around
I know some have fallen on stony ground
But love is all around

Send someone to love me
I need to rest in arms
Keep me safe from harm in pouring rain
Give me endless summer
Lord I fear the cold
Feel I'm getting old before my time
As my soul heals the shame
I will grow through this pain
Lord I'm doing all I can to be a better man
7月14日

统一战线

昨儿在电视上看了一个有关奥运的MV,忒牛了,二、三十个人在唱一首歌,还不是齐声合唱的那种——那些大大小小的明星把歌掰的一段一段的,每个人都轮不到半句,一线的、二线的、三线的全上了,港澳台、新马泰全齐了,就差Edison。
 
哎呀,毛主席的三大法宝真不是盖的。
6月25日

go go go!

go go go!
 
go! ICBC
 
go into bankruptcy!

correlation

there are 10% people more than usual in metro as the country raised the gasoline and diesel prices by at least 17 percent to curb the energy consumption.
 
so, it is crowded, very very crowded
5月21日

殇之休止 哀之节

在灾难中团结的国人
把我们的哀恸变成自强不息的火种
 
在我们人生和国家今后将要遇到的任何一次困难中铭记全力以赴和坚持不懈
 
逝者已矣,把哀悼放在我们的心里
继往开来、全力以赴
 
奋发向上才是我们民族的精神
努力奋斗才是社会发展的主旋律
 
转自BLOOMBERG:
The damages, while equal to less than 0.5 percent of China's 2007 gross domestic product, may contribute to inflation near a 12-year high by pushing up prices of materials needed for reconstruction.
 
The real upside risk for the overall economy is inflation as the reconstruction in Sichuan eats up building materials.
 
...
 
 
拾斗志,重整我山河
 
同志们,好好工作!
5月13日

心中的一点红

吾爱吾国
 
祈福
 
祝福
 
多一点的人伸手
 
多一点的人有希望
 
绵薄之力助中华
 
成城众志降劫难